KO

November 2026 · DAA ConfirmedIEF · GSG +2US Intermediate Treasury 50% · Commodities 16.7%

Defensive

1 canary asset negative — 50% cash · GSG ranks first among risky assets

28 days until the next confirmation · as of Nov 3, 2026

Provisional This month's data points to IEF · GSG · TLT · VNQ → SHY

Why this signal

Period
Currency
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canary assets

VWO-0.26Negative
BND+0.07Positive

risky assets

SPY+0.05Positive
IWM+0.02Positive
QQQ-0.15Negative
VGK+0.04Positive
EWJ-0.07Negative
VWO-0.26Negative
VNQ+0.12Selected
GSG+0.46Selected
GLD-0.33Negative
TLT+0.15Selected
HYG+0.01Positive
LQD+0.05Positive

cash assets

SHY+0.04Positive
IEF+0.08Selected
LQD+0.05Positive

13612W momentum score · Keller & Keuning (2017)

Other strategies

Biggest moves this month

Largest gainXLEEnergy+0.67#11 → #2 ▲9
Largest dropEWYSouth Korea-0.90#6 → #45 ▼39

Signal changes, last 12 months

November 2026IEFDefensive
October 2026SHYDefensive
September 2026SHYDefensive
August 2026SHYDefensiveRegime change
July 2026QQQRisk-on
June 2026IWMRisk-on
May 2026QQQRisk-onRegime change
April 2026SHYDefensiveRegime change
March 2026EWJRisk-on
February 2026GSGRisk-on
January 2026VGKRisk-on
December 2025IWMRisk-on