KO

November 2026 · VAA ConfirmedIEFUS Intermediate Treasury · 100%

Defensive

VEA · VWO turned negative — moved to defense · IEF ranks first among defensive assets

28 days until the next confirmation · as of Nov 3, 2026

Provisional This month's data points to IEF → SHY

Why this signal

Period
Currency
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offensive assets

SPY+0.05Positive
VEA-0.01Negative
VWO-0.26Negative
BND+0.07Positive

defensive assets

LQD+0.05Positive
IEF+0.08Selected
SHY+0.04Positive

13612W momentum score · Keller & Keuning (2017)

Other strategies

Biggest moves this month

Largest gainXLEEnergy+0.67#11 → #2 ▲9
Largest dropEWYSouth Korea-0.90#6 → #45 ▼39

Signal changes, last 12 months

November 2026IEFDefensive
October 2026SHYDefensive
September 2026SHYDefensive
August 2026SHYDefensiveRegime change
July 2026VEARisk-on
June 2026SPYRisk-on
May 2026SPYRisk-onRegime change
April 2026SHYDefensiveRegime change
March 2026VEARisk-on
February 2026VEARisk-on
January 2026VEARisk-on
December 2025VEARisk-on